Bias: It's not the clearest of pictures but while 90.10 supports we should see 90.93 at least and maybe 92.14.

Yesterday's follow-through higher was almost as expected but stopping slightly short of the 90.92 target. We still have to keep this level in mind but I feel we are running out of time to see the follow-through to 92.14. At the most I would not want to see any further than 90.10 in this correction else an alternative and more bearish structure will be implied. Therefore, watch this support and as long as it holds a move back above 90.60 & 90.93 could even trigger a rally as high as the 92.14 target (allow a little more) by the end of today.

Please view the complete analysis in the attached PDF file.

For a full description of how to use the analysis please see the Analysis page of my website. The prior day's set ups for the support & resistance levels highlighted in the report are now available on the Daily Forecast page of my web site. (+55 pips)

Attached Files

The Brief Daily Forecaster.pdf (86.3 KB, 4 views)

EURUSD Forecast:
The EURUSD attempted to push higher yesterday, topped at 1.3703 but closed lower at 1.3632. The bias is neutral both in nearest and medium term as price still consolidating. The bullish correction scenario after rejection from 1.3450/30 (triple bottom) remains intact as price still move inside the minor bullish channel with 1.3750 – 1.3850 as corrective target but still in a major bearish scenario. Immediate support at 1.3580 area. Break below that area could trigger further bearish momentum re-testing 1.3450/35 area but only clear break below 1.3450/35 area can be seen as bearish continuation confirmation targeting 1.3100 area.



GBPUSD Forecast:
The GBPUSD failed to continue its bullish momentum yesterday, bottomed at 1.5030 and closed at 1.5064. The bias is neutral in both nearest and medium term but remains bearish in long term view. The fact that price so far still able to move above 1.5000 – 1.4950 support area indicating the bullish correction scenario after bottomed at 1.4779 on March 01 remains intact with technical target around 1.5250 area. Clear break below 1.5000 – 1.4950 area could trigger further bearish momentum re-testing 1.4779 and might put the bullish corrective phase to its end.



USDJPY Forecast:
The USDJPY failed to maintain its bullish momentum yesterday, bottomed at 90.13 and closed at 90.29. The bias is neutral in nearest term, but the failure to stay above 90.50 area could produce a false breakout scenario which could trigger bearish momentum testing 89.50 area. The bullish correction scenario remains intact but we need a consistent move above 90.50 area to continue bullish momentum targeting 91.50 region.



USDCHF Forecast
The USDCHF was indecisive yesterday, leave us in range area of 1.0888 – 1.0640 area. We have no significant technical movement so far and price still consolidating but still in the context of bullish major scenario. I think the best strategy remains to short around 1.0888 or long around 1.0640 with tight stop loss. Break above 1.0888 – 1.0900 area should continue the bullish scenario targeting 1.1000 while a break below 1.0640 should trigger further bearish correction towards 1.0507 area.




Have a great day!

EURUSD Forecast:
The EURUSD attempted to push lower on Friday, bottomed at 1.3530 but whipsawed to the upside and closed higher at 1.3619 and keep moving higher around 1.3650 at the time I wrote this comment. Overall the pair is still in consolidation and bullish correction phase with technical corrective target around 1.3750 – 1.3850 area but still within the major bearish scenario as price still move inside the major bearish channel. Immediate support at 1.3600 followed by 1.3530. Break below 1.3530 area should trigger further bearish momentum re-testing key support 1.3450/35 (triple bottom).



GBPUSD Forecast:
The GBPUSD had a bullish momentum on Friday. As you can see on my daily chart below price bounce back to the upside after touched the major trendline support, indicating potential upside correction scenario but the main trend should remain bearish. The bias is neutral in nearest term. Immediate support at 1.5100. Break below that area should trigger further bearish momentum testing 1.5000. Initial resistance at 1.5250. Break above that area should trigger further upside momentum testing 1.5380 area.



USDJPY Forecast:
The USDJPY had a significant bullish momentum on Friday, topped at 90.58 and closed at 90.34. This fact should trigger further bullish correction scenario targeting 91.50 and the major trendline resistance area but we need a consistent move above 90.50 area to continue the bullish correction scenario. However note that the major trend should remain bearish as long as price move below the major trendline resistance. Immediate support at 90.00 followed by 89.50.



USDCHF Forecast
As you can see on my h4 chart below, the USDCHF still trapped in range area of 1.0888 – 1.0640 area indicating consolidation but still in the context of major bullish scenario. The bias is neutral in nearest term and I think the best strategy is to short around 1.0888 or long around 1.0640 with tight stop loss. Break above 1.0888 – 1.0900 area should continue the bullish scenario targeting 1.1000 while a break below 1.0640 should trigger further bearish correction towards 1.0507 area.




Have a great day!

USDCHF’s fall from 1.0887 extends to as low as 1.0648. Deeper decline is expected later today and target is to test 1.0608 key support, a breakdown below this level could indicate that the uptrend from 1.0132 has completed at 1.0898 already. However, as long as 1.0608 support holds, the price action from 1.0898 is treated as consolidation of uptrend, another rise is still possible to 1.1000 area.



Daily Forex Analysis